Invading Taiwan would incur enormous economic fallout, which the Chinese economy clearly isn't prepared for. Obviously, there would be no more trade with Taiwan, which currently exports something like $200 billion worth of goods to China every year, including strategically critical semiconductors and other high end tech components. Pro Taiwan countries would also impose massive sanctions on China and probably stop trading with China altogether in the way they have with Russia.
No one country has stopped trading altogether with Russia, even the US, even Ukraine. Ukraine buys some of their blue yellow flags from Russia. You can lie so effortlessly about such things, on a related post you tried to claim that the massive trillion dollars debt and USD currency that China has wouldn't have a significant effect on the US economy if China chose to take drastic action with those instruments.
But even friendly or non-aligned countries would find it difficult to trade with China because China relies heavily on seaborne trade, especially via the South China Sea. An estimated 30% of the world's trade passes through the South China Sea and with the exception of trade with South Korea and Japan, which would stop trading with China anyway, almost all of China's seaborne trade has to pass near Taiwan or American bases in Okinawa. In the event of an invasion, the cost of insuring ships operating in the region would skyrocket, bringing China's economy to a screeching halt.
To suggest that China depends on the world, let alone an insignificant island is hilarious. O no! China can't insure its ships, as if China depends on the world, and not the world on China.
Obviously, there would be no more trade with Taiwan, which currently exports something like $200 billion worth of goods to China every year, including strategically critical semiconductors and other high end tech components.
Its the other way around, Taiwan won't sell one more microchip or be able to produce it without Chinese imports, which it depends more on than mainland depends on the relatively insignificant imports from Taiwan.
The first reason not to think that China will invade Taiwan is that, well, the CCP hasn't actually said anything along those lines.
Yeah, I'm sure you'll expect them to be retarded like the west and telegraph their plans, spring offensive style. Art of War, tell your opponent when, where, and with how many.
On top of that, Taiwan has two monsoon seasons, and the treacherous weather leaves just two brief windows of attack one in April and May and another in October, which means Taiwan would probably be able to predict the date of the invasion. So you get the idea. An invasion of Taiwan would be difficult for any military, let alone an untested one like the PLA. And if the war in Ukraine has taught us anything, it's that there's no such thing as a guaranteed outcome in modern warfare.
Chinese navy would blockade the island and sink anyone trying to get near. It could take months but it would give China the strategic island, and it will probably get the Japanese islands not far from Taiwan if it can goad Japan into the conflict, but that might be effortless especially with the US vassalage they cherish.