Man, how complicated can tokenomics of a card game presale go? 😂
Getting that 100 packs would be juicy, since you get 2 guaranteed promo cards. I'm aiming for at least 50 to get that one promo card, and have staked SPS accordingly.
I'm buying some vouchers too, though. If they get a lot cheaper, I'll buy more and maybe go for 100 packs. But if they get really expensive – which I think they will after they stop dropping – I'll just sell the extra vouchers for premium.
Though I'd like to take advantage of SPS during presale. SPS should have a lot of buying pressure, since there's no reason NOT to buy with SPS – the moment you wanna buy, instead of purchasing with DEC, you're gonna swap it for SPS and save 10% of DEC. Depending how VOUCHER and SPS price act, I'll unstake some before the presale ends and sell back to HIVE.
Well, this or that I got some vouchers as well so I have less worries and options open.
it is only statistically guaranteed though, right?
Me too :)
for me, this is the best part of the game - working out wtf to do!
Well, I was actually wondering the same thing.
I hope the Splinterland team knows some basic statistics, because if there is no rule that "if player x buys 50 packs, he gets a promo card" then no promo cards are guaranteed.
See, if the only rule is that there's a 2% chance to get a promo card per pack, then the likelyhood of NOT getting a promo card is 98%. Thus, the likelyhood of not getting a promo card in 50 packs is 0,98^50=0,36 so 36%. Which means that there's really a 64% of getting a promo card for 50 packs.
Reading the above it seems though that there's a specific rule that says, "if you bought 50 packs, you get a promo card".
I might have to ask this in Splinterlands discord channel to be sure 😅
Where people are getting the "guarantee" from is the calculator I think - which isn't put out by the SL team.
Let me know please!
Well, gandalf replied that he also understood that it's 2% chance increase per pack until every 49 packs, for 50 it's guaranteed. I sure hope, because I don't wanna buy lottery tickets for the promo cards :D Still waiting what aggroed says (if he even sees it).