Getting that 100 packs would be juicy, since you get 2 guaranteed promo cards. I'm aiming for at least 50 to get that one promo card, and have staked SPS accordingly.
it is only statistically guaranteed though, right?
If they get a lot cheaper, I'll buy more
Me too :)
for me, this is the best part of the game - working out wtf to do!
Well, I was actually wondering the same thing.
I hope the Splinterland team knows some basic statistics, because if there is no rule that "if player x buys 50 packs, he gets a promo card" then no promo cards are guaranteed.
See, if the only rule is that there's a 2% chance to get a promo card per pack, then the likelyhood of NOT getting a promo card is 98%. Thus, the likelyhood of not getting a promo card in 50 packs is 0,98^50=0,36 so 36%. Which means that there's really a 64% of getting a promo card for 50 packs.
Reading the above it seems though that there's a specific rule that says, "if you bought 50 packs, you get a promo card".
I might have to ask this in Splinterlands discord channel to be sure 😅
Where people are getting the "guarantee" from is the calculator I think - which isn't put out by the SL team.
Let me know please!
Well, gandalf replied that he also understood that it's 2% chance increase per pack until every 49 packs, for 50 it's guaranteed. I sure hope, because I don't wanna buy lottery tickets for the promo cards :D Still waiting what aggroed says (if he even sees it).