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RE: LeoThread 2023-08-06 12:03

in LeoFinancelast year

It isn't about the existence of electric cars and isn't about self esteem. It's about government intervention in the market, having electric vehicles forced upon people and the potential costs of that, both direct and indirect.

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Well we can't carry on like we are. Oil burners will be around for a while yet, but I'll get an EV soon plus solar panels to supply some of the power.

Industry will need to adapt as it did when cars decimated the horse trades.

EV's still carry a price premium some can't afford and to be honest, it isn't clear that current EV tech is significantly better for the environment.

EVs incur a higher carbon cost to produce and current battery tech is horrible for the environment in other ways.

And oil burners spew buttercups and bunnies from the tailpipes? Less cars is a better option, but many need their own transport. EVs and batteries have plenty of room to improve. Battery capacity has gone way up in last 20 years.

I've never seen buttercups or bunnies come out but maybe I'm not taking the right kind of drugs.

I didn't say gas powered cars had no environmental impact, just that it wasn't clear that EVs were a significant net improvement. In a modern car, it is MOSTLY nitrogen, oxygen, carbon dioxide and water vapor that comes out the tailpipe.

These stats show EVs being better on total carbon pretty quickly depending on the energy source https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/lifetime-carbon-emissions-electric-vehicles-vs-gasoline-cars-2021-06-29/

If you throw in fictional energy mixes it can look quite good. In the real world currently, It's 80,000 to 90,000 miles to break even and that's just carbon costs.

What is fictional there? It includes the US mix that is not 100% coal. UK is hitting 50% wind at times. Batteries can have further life in solar storage. It's all evolving, but nothing is perfect.

The 'fiction' in the article you linked were the outstanding numbers if energy production was 100% hydroelectric. Yes, the numbers may be outstanding but 100% hydroelectric isn't realistic.

It's 95% hydro in Norway, but that has impacts too. I doubt few countries are 100% coal either. Lots of factors involved, but it illustrates potential. Biofuels are not ideal, but could play a part.

Reality in the middle

100% hydroelectric Break-even: 8,400 miles

U.S. average energy mix (23% coal-fired, plus other fossil fuels and renewables) Break-even: 13,500 miles

Power scenario 3: 100% coal-fired Break-even: 78,700 miles

And who said anything about perfect? I'm simply comparing EV's NOW to gas powered vehicles NOW.

Okay. I don't know what your angle is. It seems some people had little issue with a century of oil cars plus all the roads, tyres and other infrastructure, but suddenly worry about EVs with some different issues.

This doesn't address the impact of batteries (disposal, recycling costs, lithium mining, etc.)