CONTEST!
Interesting, because I feel like Bitcoin can still do both of those things. As portrayed by the 2019 fractal, this next bounce could take us slightly above all time highs (say $44k), but still ultimately crash to $20k before summer.
2021 Bitcoin Doubling Curve
| Jan | Feb | Mar | April | May | June |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $13867 | $14933 | $16000 | $17067 | $18133 | $19200 |
| July | Aug | Sept | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $20267 | $21333 | $22400 | $23467 | $24533 | $25600 |
Essentially if it doesn't crash to $20k by August I lose.
Doesn't really matter how high it goes.
Considering May and June are amazing months for crypto it likely has to crash to $20k by April.