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I think it's actually higher at about 36k close for the weekly candle. We are constantly scratching the bottom

I don't see the logic there.

Last bull market:

$10k >> $40k >> $30k >> $60k >> $30k >> $65k >> $35k >> $48k >> now

With the doubling curve sitting at $34k saying we are in a bear market at $36k seems very premature.
Especially considering this support increases by $2k every month.

I follow my own logic :P

For me the middle thicker blue line is decisive. It's the last support that is there; if it fails we are definitely heading to the orange line and I doubt that prices will rise from there.

image.png

I doubt that prices will rise from there.

Ah see that's were the difference lies.
I would say if prices go that low they are guaranteed to go back up.
That's exactly where I want prices to be before I go long.

of course they will rise again, but it all depends on the scale one is looking at. I think there could be 1-1.5 years of downward movement until the halving

Again, I would say the halving is totally irrelevant at this point.
90% of the tokens that will ever exist have already been minted.
Cutting inflation in half again is no longer significant.

good point