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Should the New York Mets Make a Blockbuster Trade for Garrett Crochet?

The New York Mets are once again a topic of conversation in the baseball world as rumors circulate about a potential blockbuster trade involving left-handed pitcher Garrett Crochet. This discussion points toward the Mets' need for an ace starter to complement their roster heading into the next season.

The host of the Locked On Mets podcast, Ryan Ficklin, provides an in-depth analysis of Crochet’s season, his statistics, and the potential implications for a trade. He considers the performer as not just a good pitcher but as a potential ace who could revolutionize the Mets' starting rotation.

Understanding Garrett Crochet’s Value

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Garrett Crochet had a standout season, starting all 32 games for the Chicago White Sox and achieving an impressive average ERA of 3.58. Over the course of the year, he cooked up 209 strikeouts in 146 innings of work, showcasing a substantial strikeout rate of 35.1%. At only 25 years old, Crochet presents not only outstanding physical capabilities—averaging 97 mph on his fastball—but also significant market value due to his cost-controlled contract.

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For the next two seasons, Crochet is projected to earn around $3 million in arbitration, which makes him one of the most valuable pitchers relative to his contract in baseball. While teams like the Mets seek to bolster their pitching staff, the concern remains whether the potential cost, including valuable prospects, would outweigh the benefits of acquiring him.

Prospective Trade Packages

To understand what it would take to lure Crochet to Flushing, we need to identify what the White Sox are looking for in return. The consensus among insiders, including former Mets GM Zack Scott, is that the White Sox are particularly interested in position players as trade assets.

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Ficklin argues that to secure Crochet, the Mets may need to part with one of their most prized prospects, Jet Williams, alongside other promising talents like Carson Benj or Drew Gilbert. Such a package may also include Brett Baty or a lower-tier prospect that still retains some potential.

The proposed trade could look like:

  • Jet Williams (the key player)

  • Drew Gilbert

  • Brett Baty

  • A lower-tier prospect (e.g., AJ Ewing)

This collection would represent a significant trade-off given Crochet's potential upside.

The Risks of Trading for Crochet

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While acquiring Crochet could bolster the Mets' pitching lineup, there are risks to consider. One major concern is Crochet’s relative inexperience as a full-time starter; he has only excelled in one season. Additionally, investing heavily in a pitcher, who could potentially sustain injuries, is a daunting thought for the front office.

Ficklin emphasizes that if the Mets can secure Crochet while managing to retain their top prospects like Jet Williams, they should lean toward letting the free agency market fill their pitching needs rather than engaging in risky trades. The Mets have viable options such as Blake Snell, Max Fried, and other respectable starters who could be acquired without sacrificing their top-tier talent.

The Added Dimension: Luis Robert

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The conversation takes an intriguing turn when discussing another potential acquisition: center fielder Luis Robert. If the Mets were to make a trade for both Crochet and Robert, it would be a monumental shift for their lineup. Robert’s impressive batting ability and defensive skills could greatly benefit the Mets. However, similar risks persist with Robert due to his injury history and fluctuating performance.

A possible trade for both Robert and Crochet could involve:

  • Jet Williams

  • Ryan Clifford

  • Brett Baty

  • An additional arm or prospect

This stacked package would surely come at a premium cost, and while the potential rewards are immense, the risks of injuries and underperformance must weigh heavily in decision-making.

Conclusion: A Hesitant Approach

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Ficklin ultimately cautions against the idea of trading pivotal players such as Jet Williams. Given the Mets’ financial muscle under Steve Cohen, they have ample opportunities in free agency without having to dismantle their farm system. As the Mets explore options for fortifying their roster, acquiring established veterans or proven pitchers in free agency might be a wiser route than engaging in blockbuster trades.

While Garrett Crochet presents an enticing possibility for the Mets, the path to making impactful roster changes without incurring significant risk is shining brightly through the free agency market. The attention now shifts to upcoming free agency possibilities, while the dream of landing Crochet—and possibly Robert—lingers in the wings.

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As offseason plans unfold, Mets fans will undoubtedly continue to monitor the front office's moves closely, hoping for the right balance between risk and reward.