Negative rates: Planned downturn?

in #leofinance5 years ago


source: ABCNews

First of all, in our current "western" economy (talking about Europe, North America, Japan and Australia) it's very hard for prices to go down. Because of the minimum wage and a lot of other different reasons. But if prices can't go down to create demand, there's a lot faster supply destruction. And of course the supply gives us the ability to consume. So if there's less supply happening, there's less consumption and less income.

So just to reiterate in our current economy - if we have a lot less credit we have less production, less consumption income, that leads us to an economic collapse.

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In 2002 Lew Rockwell posted a quote from Paul Krugman, who told to New York Times, what will happen to housing market in case of every financial crisis in the future. But I guess, at that time, no one thought of Krugman's take to be 100% true.

In 2007 housing prices skyrocket to an all-time high (197% on inflation-adjusted price index) and come crashing down. But what does this do to the younger generations? Because they didn't really allow the bubble to completely deflate, it only went back to its historic trend-line. Than the Fed started inflating the everything bubble to make up for the housing bubble that made up for the dot-com bubble.... you see how these things work?

Real  CaseShiller HPI.png

Inflation tax

This works several different ways, but the bottom line is : the younger generation ends up paying for all the Boomers bubbles. First and foremost when they get into the job market, it's totally depressed because the corporations aren't investing for the long. They're not investing in creating more jobs, growing their business... Why? Because the central bank comes in, lowers interest rates, does quantitative easing, prints up all the funny money they put in the central bank.... So it incentivizes the corporations and big businesses to take that money and just buy their own shares back, invest in the financial economy as opposed to the real economy.

The younger generation ends up paying for this because, instead of getting out of college and finding a great job, they're left to go right into the gig economy and have 15 side hustles just to make ends meet!

Central banks in the past have created debt bubbles to destroy entire economies and they do so, because they want to restructure or consolidate power. As an example look at the United States in the 1920s where the central banks and the banking system itself created these huge debt bubbles that brought USA to the 1930s where a lot more government control came into American society. The American public would have never ever agreed to having this much government control in their society if it wasn't for the collapse that the expansion of credit in the 1920s created. The exact same thing happened in the 1980s in Japan, 1990s in Asia and is happening now in all the developed economies! They're trying to create these debt bubbles so when they burst and the recession comes, the powers that be, can consolidate the power or they can change the country or the entire economy in a manner that they see fit!

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Thanks for the report, Worldfinances. I am afraid that I am going to fall for the Too-Good-to-Be-True Negative interest rate mortgage offer if it ever becomes available.

Posted Using LeoFinance

Sure, no problem. I think negative rate mortgage will never become accessible, because in that case, everyone would take maximum mortgage and financial system would crash in matter of days. In EU, banks have negative interest rate (between themselfs - night loan between banks ), but not between banks and usual Joe. What that will do in US, same as in EU and Japan (and also many other countries) is that...banks will not loan any money to each other anymore, because that would mean a loss for the one who loans money out. Instead, banks "print" (create) their own money and keep it. And what that does is massive buyback and massive buying of everything that still have value. You can see that in US with FED, but in EU and Japan that's happening for few years. That's also why stocks do not fall.