Sometimes, we have to stretch our imagination...
Here we are, popping the champagne, with a ~$5/Steem. Engagement is up, sign-up are up, alexa rankings getting better, traffic going through the roof. It's good times.
But yesterday, I had fun comparing what Steem could be when it will be it's in "mature" form.
A lot of people compare steemit.com to Facebook...and I think it's a sub-optimal way to look at things when we want to see what is the true worth of the steem blockchain.
Google is a better comparison
The more apt comparison would be to compare Steem with something like Google. Google is an agglomeration of multiple technologies and services that stacks on top of each other. It has search, analytics, advertising, social media, email, chat, live streaming, etc.
Steem is more than steemit.com...it's an agglomeration of all the businesses that stacks on top of it. It solved multiple problems at once. It does instant and free transactions, allows to incentivizes behaviors on social media and probably does other things that we haven't even considered yet. (think cryptokitties)
So far we have:
- Steemit
- D.Tube
- Dsound.audio
- Esteem
- Steepshot
- Utopian.io
- Zappl
NOTE: All of those project do not have ways to sign-up people directly...IMAGINE what will happen when any projects can onboard their own users!
Alphabet(Google) Market Cap is 770.25B
Google market cap alone is bigger than the whole cryptocurrency market cap put together(718B)...for now.
In the next 5 to 10 years, we will see massive adoption of the blockchain and STEEM arrived just at the right time to capitalize on this future growth. We are way ahead of any competitor who might attempt to figure out how to do what we do now.
I am confident that with all the services that will be built on top of STEEM, that we could see STEEM in the future reach similar heights. That would mean, discounting STEEM inflation, that STEEM could potentially be worth $3121/steem.
No one that is here right now would complain that they weren't there at the ground floor. 😂
$3121/STEEM is impossible?
3 years ago, you would have told me that bitcoin would reach $20,000 I would have told you to take a walk...especially because in my mind it was so flawed. But here we are and people are already talking about $100,000 + per bitcoin.
We fundamentally do not know what we are tapping into with this technology and how disruptive it is. STEEM being worth as much as Google is not too big of a leap when you consider what it can do for social media alone (discounting what it can do to payment and money transfer)
It's not in it's final form yet
Don't get me wrong, STEEM has a lot of maturing to do. It has many flaws that makes it sub-optimal right now. But everyday, people are working at making it better. I have no doubt that with time, what we complain about now will subside and make place for incredibly innovative solutions.
Get ready because it's going to be a wild ride in the next 5 years.
I get teased about my absurd claims yet not even I have ventured into $3K+ STEEM ($1K is my max so far).
People do not realize how big the blockchain market will become.
There are a couple ways to look at it.
To start, blockchain is 100x more powerful and disruptive than the Internet was. Since that ended up as a siloed system, innovation was stifled. Now, with decentralization, there are thousands if not tens of thousands of developers working on blockchain all over the world.
Cisco did a study and concluded that the Internet is worth $19T (this was a few years ago). 100X that and you get over a quadrillion dollars. Is that possible? It could be.
The second way to look at this is to consider that the entire GDP of the world in 10 years, with AI and other tech, be over $100T...maybe even closer to $125T. At that time, 90% of all commerce will be done on the blockchain. So is a 10 multiple outrageous?
If not, then you top a quadrillion again.
At that point, a blockchain worth a few trillion is nothing.
Man bots are gonna be a huge part of the work force. Some people are speculating that AI will 1) make humanity largely unemployable, and 2) that the AI's income will have to be garnished to pay for a Universal Basic Income to prevent wide spread looting and starvation from the massive unemployment. Interesting and concerning times.
The tokenized world will be the basic income. People are going to be getting paid for doing the things that they normally do. Steemit pays people to post, comment, and upvote, activities done on Reddit, Youtube, and FB everyday.
This is the first of thousands that will emerge over the next few years.
We're basically going from a society where humans did everything for farming, mining, producing, to a AI/Robotised world where we humans, that grew addicted to social media and the internet get paid to support and surf on. The richest ones being the most creative or interesting or entertaining individuals. At this point, even VR will be another beast, and simulations will be in the neighbourhood.. Basically, in a nutshell.. Shit is going Faster and Faster and it's mad to be a part of it
Absolutely @reddutopia.
Add 3D printing to the mix where, eventually, people will be printing out a fair portion of what they need in the house for pennies on the dollar.
There is a ton going on and technology is moving ahead rapidly. We havent even begun to see what is going to take place.
Good point about VR....it went through the crash after the hype cycle and appears to be coming back strong....the developers seem to have made progress and are looking to bring it to market.
5G will really help that technology which will be around in 4 years (In the Western countries at least).
Ever seen wall-e
@taskmaster4450, agreed this is very possible, you are valuing it at the higher end on the upside as of today, but very possible. Being the pioneering force, and having a LOT of benefits over your competition, this enterprise knows no limits, on those put on it by the public investment. The public knowledge of this on the investor end is very little-from previously being nil. By the way, a 10 multiple is for companies in experimental periods with little experience of meeting street expectations. Every consecutive quarter Wall Street gets their minds together enough to start making educated projections, and this platform delivers, the sky is the limit, and yes $3121.00 steem is totally in play over the coming years. Thanks for the article, keep up the great work @cryptoctopus!
😂 what should i be the first to say 5k steem
I do believe that honor goes to you.
Yes!!!! I did it.
until blockchain goes mainstream we will still be baffled by how big steem can be, but the future has arrived and steem positioning itself as the future of blockchain then the potential is big
In a way, Steem is getting into the 'early adaptor' fase. We are having small pools of users from all kinds of demographics..
Especially in developing countries, Steem could be growing big fast.
The way the inflation of fiat currency keeps increasing the total supply, a quadrillion dollars is an easy achievement ;P
I really hate that comparison. It puts in people's mind that they can just upload links or video without any effort in hopes to make a few SBD. I prefer to compare Steemit to Medium but even that falls short a bit.
I think this works to a degree since we are able to do so much on the STEEM blockchain. This still may give the 'average Joe' the wrong idea but with a bit of explaining why we see it like a new Google it will pan out better than the old Facebook comparison.
For sure, but just as you said people are working to make it better everyday. Even I started to work on a STEEM project recently. There are so mean devs and programmers out there that are able to take this platform main stream.
Great post as always mate!
J. R.
While I remain hopeful I try to focus on growing my crypto, not my fiat value.
I can't control the price of any coin going up or down. The only thing I can control is how fast I accumulate crypto by researching trades and spending time on Steemit.
While I'm very hopeful you're right (with my small SP I currently have that would make me a millionaire), I can't afford to get lost in the clouds.
No one believes me and my parents think I am crazy but honestly , I have a dream of being able to buy a house for my parents and my family , I want to raise my son with a life I never had.
I know the price of Steem has potential that’s why I’m going to save it as a future investment . They will laugh until they see me successful one day @cryptoctopus
@cryptoctopus - Sir when it reach $3000 you will pass Bill Gate & we all can be happy... One more thing Sir, your gift of Loyal fans will earn millions of $$$$ from you too Sir... Future is so clear & wonderful with STEEM Sir...
+W+
I hope it will be, then it changes my life and from a lot of others. I can't wait to be independed.. I am busy now with my future..
It is possible, and i Will stick with It to see How Far It goes. But like you said, this is a total New technology, with a lot of not yet seen potential. Its not possible to know 100% for sure How things Will end.
Who knows, maybe some one on the future do something that do evento better what steem does.
We all have to pay attention to that.
$3,000 a steem would be cool, but I'm not much for predictions. If anyone would've told me in 2011 that bitcoin would've hit $14,000 in seven years time I don't know if I would've believed you, but I think that is mostly because I thought bitcoin would be a great currency used to quickly exchange value from one person to another, I understood it was speculative, but I could've never imagined people using it as a currency if it was so expensive per coin (I guess I was kinda right about that, It's getting harder to find someone that actually uses bitcoin as a currency and not as a stock to hold).
Now a days I like cryptos that have utility (or at least the potential of one) Ether and steem (I think) will be the new paradigm (but again, I'm not much for predictions).
I just want to say one thing that impossible word itself says I m possible, so I believe that steem will go much higher than that. So many applications have developed and it's just the beginning, the real game will start after SMT . So just be patient and have faith on people like @cryptoctopus and work with the community to make it better. Steem on . Have a nice day.
I do not feel that steem will be comparable to Boogle.
Mostly, because we don't have a search engine.
(Maybe I should write one, but for that I need a lot of the developers time to ask inane questions)
I do not doubt that we will see $3121 STEEM.
But mostly because of other factors. As more money flees from fiat, we will easily 1000% increase in price.
As the US$ goes into hyperinflation, there will be people who would gladly give up $3000 US for one STEEM.
So, even without the optimism you have of where steem is going, your claim will be fulfilled.
Personally, with all the flaws I see with Steem, I don't see it happen. But I do have to admit it's still in its premature stage and things could change in due time. If things come to mature properly and Steem is to stay the #1 in its specifc utility, then yes, it could happen. I see EOS have 1 trillion market cap 5-10 years from now (unless competetion arrives of course ^^), so it ain't too far fetched. After all, Blockchain technology is gonna revolutionize things as we know it.
Yup, nothing is impossible. I thought it was impossible to cash out any crypto and I earned more than my monthly salary in the last week. So I am positive about some more positive things to happen!
How about now? How much did you lose?
It truly is crazy to think of all the exciting possibilities there are. There are so many theories out there regarding Steemit and the cryptocurrency world in general, it's hard to know exactly what will happen. To be fair, I don't think anyone KNOWS what's gonna happen. I just know from my standpoint Steemit has some amazing potential, so I'm here for the long haul.
mind blowing &in 5 years time yes steem can make it happen. steem is maturing day by day. with it's future projects it is unbeatable. @cryptoctopus
@resteemia
resteemed & upvoted & commented & followed
Who invested 1000 usd in amazon shares....just go and ask....so the current timing looks very ordinary but the future has always something beyond imagination or us.
Steemit is just a baby now and when it becomes adult the figure given by you will be a reality.
I agree with this article completely. People are goin crazy over blockchain. No one wants to miss the opportunity to earn. With small amounts people are making big on blockchain. With more successes steem brings to common man it will attract more people on board. Imagine if 1% of planet i.e 70 mn people comes onboard over steem what will happen. If your social media skills can earn you everyday for yoh then why would people waste there time on Facebook or Twitter. They would instead come on Steemit to earn for their time on social media. Time is money as they say and steemit is paying for your time. For the first time someone is paying for your time. Enough of free comments on FB. Steem is paying you folks for the same thing you do on FB. Let steemit break all predictions. Most important is steemit will make a great community... Thanks steemit.. Proud of you guys..
It's kinda hard to get your mind around Steem going that high. Not that there is any reason to think otherwise, it's just kinda like you wish you had bought Bitcoin before it took off, and to be potentially in that kind of scenario is what's hard to believe. Being in the right place at the right time for once.
@cryptoctopus,
You are absolutely correct. We made a huge mistake by comparing Steemit with Facebook. But today it cleared. This is not only a social media. This something bigger and better than all social media platforms. The power of 3rd generation blockchain technology also absorbed to Steem and decentralisation also there. This is just a beginning of a new era and yeah what you said, what you calculated here can be true in next couple of years time. Thank you very much for sharing this great article with us.
Cheers~
Demand for STEEM will only increase and so will the price. I think the reason why we are not even higher is that there is no real marketing going on, which is essential for business. My prediction is that we will reach $200.
first of all its true that the steem is not only steemit.com.. and really it's an agglomeration of all the businesses that stacks on top of it......but steemit.com is the first and heart of steem blockchain
and i know many have a shit comparing steem with facebook but facebook is totally waste of time otherwise nothing and otherside if we compare steem with google is some right and sure one day steem having the market cap above from all the crypto currencies like btc or above than btc reason is that there is no any crypto who have many valuable projects and giving the many advantages and one day this thing will make it more valuable and the world best platfarm and we will see the all people of world will be on this single platfarm...this is not only our excitments with steem this is a big true
maybe some are not agree on it but we dont care about them
I have seen several other intelligent people predict huge prices in the future per steem. I, of course really hope those predictions are right!
But we must never forget the responsibility we have now as this community to make a steem a welcoming and positive place. I think we are important for the future success of the steem blockchain, so we need to keep making a steemit a great place for interactions.
I don't think you can compare steemit because only the rewards churned out by steemit makes people want to love it the more.
I really don't have trouble seeing Steem at this price but I'm confused, what made you settle on $3121? The number seems sort of arbitrary.
I really think all estimates are wild guesses at this point. The truth is that this is completely unexplored territory. I don't know what sort of metric you would use to gauge the value of this thing called Steem or any other blockchain. If one went back to the early 90s and looked for guesses on the future value of just one aspect of the internet you would find them all woefully lacking now.
$3121? I wouldn't be surprised at $31210.
Thanks for the post.
Keep Steeming!
Like you said @cryptoctopus, bitcoin surpriced us and I know Steem will also do same, Steem will supass most cryptocurrencies.
Totally agreed with your words. I am really very optimistic about this platform. In May 2017, I joined this network and now I have earned more than 20k$ using my art and blogs here at steemit. And steem has many benefits over the bitcoin, I am really excited about it. I have left facebook and google plus far behind now. I am a full time steemer now.
well it is more great and the big success of steem to see the todays report and steemit daily new accounts register on steemit 5340 is a good sign also The Alexa traffc ranking of Steemit.com is still growing rapidly. Currently at #1390 ,,is more good sign and telling the time is coming soon to be greate succes in world of steem blockchain and it is not impossible to when the steem price equal to bitcoin....
and to see the fast growing of steem day by day showing the comparison with google is true and i m seeing in next 10 years the market cap of steem will be near google marketcap and upto all cryptos
You forgot @dlive!
Twitch is getting more and more popular every year - Just because eSports is doing so!
But Twitch is not really nice to most it's streamers from what I have heard.
Combine these two facts with the two million SP @dlive has delegated and the therefore rising promotional possibilities and you will see another application of the STEEM blockchain with a huge potential to benefit us all ;)
Otherwise I completely agree with you on seeing tons of potential - Even though even a three digit price seems totally unrealistic(or at least unbelievable)!
Another interesting thing might be VICE, a porno-token based on STEEM (don't have much infos here) - That would be another industry with a lot of money involved ;)
Gonna upvote this comment for visibility!
Greets, Martin
@dmania, @what-app similar to quora, even busy.org or chainbb.com.
Compare to Bitcoin (BTC), STEEM is not only a coin that do things better than BTC (e.g. 3 second confirmation, 10K TPS), but also an asset class that powers many popular DApps. With SMT launch it will power many media companies, therefore, in the long run, STEEM price will increase not due to speculation but due to utilization and functionalities. I believe lots of top coins will loose market value because they are competing for same niche for example, all privacy coins- DASH, XMR, BCN, ZCash, PIVX, VERGE, BitcoinDark, Zcoin. Do we really need 10 ore more coins for same purpose. STEEM is unique and has almost no competitor. Therefore, projecting $3K at three times the market cap of BTC ($750B) is not very far-fetched.
I'm popping the champagne at $100 per Steem as that's my target for Steem by end of 2018.
It is mine also....I starting that rant at $.85 back in November.
STEEM is going to explode once it gets on the radar of the mainstream cryptocurrency world.
That. Is. Just. It!
I will pop 100 bottles !!
I hadn't realized that all of those projects can't on-board users directly and that at some point they will be able to. It makes sense that it would cause an explosion in the price of Steem and the use of the Steem blockchain.
The highest price I can allow myself to consider realistic right now is $300. That would put my current Steem Power holdings at around $660,000.
If we reach your price of $3121, my current holdings would be worth almost $7,000,000, so...
Either way, I really do believe it going to get better and better and I am so thankful to be here for the ride.
dont forget dlive
As a noob I see only the positive side of this platform. After having spent 5 months on this portal and going through many posts from the big shots and other articles and watching related videos, one thing I can say that Steem will first hit $100 mark and then it'll be upward. I don't even know its limit
$3k STEEM can only happen if demand outpaces the sells. This is going to be difficult as users sell STEEM to pay for their lifestyles. If SMTs are a huge hit, $50 - $100 STEEM is likely, but $3k STEEM seems like a far ways off.
Indeed it is going to be roller coaster ride, but ultimately going to reach far more superior heights.
Nice thoughts and i agree with your points steem is growing thick and fast we can clearly see on alexa ranks that it is now at 1300th place on the globe and that's huge achievement in such short spade of time and in USA it ranks even higher, so this shows that how much humans love steemit and steem blockchain and it's true with more and more developments steem will surely cross all barrier's, thanks for sharing your nice thoughts with us, Stay blessed
Yeah, very true. I still remember trying to explain this to some people during a steemit seminar this week.
I use the steem blockchain and ethereum contract kind of tech to explain it. Steem is an architecture and blockchain which complex applications can be built on top. Applications that'll add meanings to life, decentralized apps, and app which data will be saved on the blockchain.
Thanks @cryptoctopus for this wonderful article. I've learnt from it too.
Happy Steeming
Take Facebook or Google, it all comes down to social networks in different forms being a world top 10 in terms of value creation. Blockchain allows superior implementation of social networks. The winners alone will probably reach a trillion easily in the next years. Steem is certainly one of the best actual functioning tokens out there. It has an important edge, but needs constant improvement.
Here any other says that when facebook got achieve the decentralize cryptocurrency facebook than steem will fall but, many of the person now ignore facebook because there is no freedom to share their data but steem allow all the unique article, so it will proved and competent with google @cryptoctopus
What needs to happen is that we ensure that steemit remains the dominant platform of its type, other similar platforms will pop up and if steemit loses users to them then it could become the next Myspace. On the other hand steemit is only in beta right now, when it goes live there will be a bunch of new users and the price of steem should shoot up. Let's all work to make that happen!
I just recently wrote about $100 Steem simply because assuming user acquisition continues and products stagnant a $26 billion valuation isn’t crazy. A ton of social media sites with the same potential have similar valuations, ie:
no one can exactly predict any cryptocurrencry @cryptoctopus sir,but Steem may go Worth In the Future $3121/STEEM, as no one was believing in the past about the bitcoin price will go high.but now bitcoin has become mother of all cryptocurrencry.So I believe that steem price will go very high in the future and I pray for all that everyone in steemit community will get profit.thanks to share your thoughts and experience with us sir.have a nice day.
I think it's possible. I just learned that Steemit now has the most daily transactions out of all other altcoins. That's amazing as it's not even in the top 20 right now.
It is indeed the proper longer term analysis, altho you're assuming everything goes 100% perfectly. But surely it's worth having some money in Steem while it's growing.
In the shorter term, think Steem can easily go up 10x to about $80, simply bc we've already seen some other cryptos get that popular and achieve the market cap Steem would have at $80 per.
For Steem to reach beyond that, however, it's going to need to fix some things, and that always seems quite hard in crypto due to the nature of having to secure votes for everything, and votes always factor in self-interest which may not match the goal of achieving high market caps for the overall entity.
so we'd rather hear more about upcoming Steemit changes and how the witness votes are going.
But great target price, much more helpful than the chart-based stuff certain folks are posting.
Steemit is growing every day and it will keep growing. The value of steem $3121/STEEM may seem impossible today. But it's not a big deal if this community keeps growing like this is growing now. The example of bitcoin is the best example for this. You explained it very well.
I love the GIF which explains the meaning of impossible ie. I am possible.
Nice post.
Thanks.
Awsome post. I hope so just bought my first steem yesterday.
Can someone explain this to me. I just bought my first steem tokens. So if I use them to power up my steem power I wont lose my steem? It just locks it in for a certain amount of time? Can someone please explain this or point my in the right direction. Thanks.
Impossible can be possible. And Bitcoin is it's example as you described. The rate at which this community is growing it will not take much time to achieve this price of steem.