I've been thinking about this, too @ats-david. I'm not a numbers guy, so I'm not able to articulate market cap factors, etc. For me personally, though, I got in to Steemit over a year ago. I've cobbled together a nice little crypto-portfolio of mostly Graphene. EOS, BTS and MUSE, but STEEM rewards was my entry in to those tokens without putting in my own USD [...with the exception of moments too good to pass up, like STEEM at $0.08 when I did forego luxuries for a chance to buy in so cheap]. It did get me thinking, though, if STEEM was my gateway currency to other blockchain tokens, I wonder if that's the case on a massive level. Are tens of thousands of people trading STEEM out for other opportunities, and if so, would that affect a sluggish growth?
I'm really interested in seeing what happens as SMT's roll out. Likewise, to your point, the marketing push that'll hopefully come with Smart Media Tokens.
Look at this report from @lukestokes https://steemit.com/exchangereport/@lukestokes/exchange-transfer-report-12-03-2017-to-12-09-2017
It shows us that those pushing the price of steem down are not authors but early adopters/miners.
There is more money coming into steem than being cashed out by authors. Just check transactions going out to exchanges ( from regular authors exclusively) and compare it to @lukestokes report above.
The problem is lack of volume. There is not enough buyers to absord sell pressure which is why it takes many months for those early adopters to get rid of their stake at a price that they want.
I think the reason there is very little volume is because speculators are out of the game. They think that "if you can earn steem by doing social media why would you even bother buying it" or that " steem has huge inflation because to pay everyone they must print a lot of new tokens". It's a perception issue.
Most speculators are not touching steem only investors who have done their homework and users powering up are buying steem ( basically real demand), so steem is a lot closer to the real price. 99% of altcoins are overvalued, they are just being pumped by speculators and my guess is that speculators couldn't resist pumping SBD too.
Patience is key, it will take time for those early steemians to sell but when they are done the price is going to rise, that's what the current stats tells us and that's without the help of speculators even.
The price is going up (for the past 1 week+).
The exchange transfer report is okay for what it is, but it does not show capital going into or out of STEEM. It shows capital going into or out of exchanges. Not the same thing at all.
Regardless where the price is going, there is always 2 forces in a market one that pushes it up and another that pushes down. Also in USD term the price is going up but relative to BTC the price of steem has performed very poorly.
Well you have to send it to an exchange to sell it...so it's a pretty accurate representation, at least on the sell side.
Gateway currency! I like that!
It's doing the same to me now, I'm using the huge SBD pump to diversify, though I'm a year later than you.