Thank you for your reply @bluerobo
Like fusion reactors. They seem to be around 20 away - for the last 40 years.
That's right, predicting technology is something really complicated.
I find it hard to assign a probability to the question: are we going to have general AI by 2050.
I think that there is more important question: is the general AI possible? Think about that: if it experiences consciousness, it may decide immediately after turning on that there is no sense of life and turn off.
This sounds like a very human way of thinking to me. In my mind, a general AI would think in very different concepts. Why would it care about us in that way in the first place?
As a thought - this might be a stretch:
Humans are mammals. To a certain extent we suppose we can imagine what other mammals might think.
But. Thinking like an insect, a spider for example, sounds very freaky. It is so far removed from us.
I am pretty sure, if there was a general AI, it would have different reasoning than humans.
We might not comprehend it.
As long as AI is subject to laws of robotics or ethics - thought up by humans - its not truly general.
Posted using Partiko Android