How long is a piece of string?
The question you ask is often discussed, and studied, but nobody can ever really give you a definitive answer.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/0261560692900483
Like I said - I'm not a technical analysis fanatic - I rarely base my investment decisions on that alone - I was invested in vertcoin before I saw any of the above stuff - Most of the technicals with Vertcoin I would have seen some time ago from other analysts and been watching ever since...