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multius (41)in #singapore • 4 years ago
Singapore - 55 Years of Independence - Part 1
Around August of every year, I usually write a piece on Singapore for the year ahead. This time, things are a little bit different. I look further ahead and look at some of the…
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multius (41)in #geopolitics • 4 years ago
Trends for Southeast Asia
I see the main trends having to do with the capacity of states to be coherent and capable to handle the various other possible disruptions, and the extent they are able to…
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multius (41)in #geopolitics • 4 years ago
India's trajectories
India's certainly has the potential to be a major geopolitical power. It's economy - already one of the largest in the world, will continue to grow if it does not engage in large…
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multius (41)in #geopolitics • 4 years ago
America’s scenarios
This time I look at scenarios for the United States and what that might mean for the world. First of all, domestic situation and foreign policies are somewhat linked. As we saw…
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multius (41)in #geopolitics • 4 years ago
US and the South China Sea
Yesterday, the Secretary of State Mike Pompeo says the US will support the various countries in their competing claims with China. Although this is too little too late, this…
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multius (41)in #unitedstates • 4 years ago
Another milestone: United States ends Hong Kong's special status
I just read today that the US has ended Hong Kong's special trade status, and that firms operating in Hong Kong will be subjected to China's level of tariffs. This is a big…
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multius (41)in #africa • 4 years ago
The Economist covered Africa in a positive light some months ago
The Economist covered Africa in a positive light, but aware of the various issues. A nice change of tone.
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multius (41)in #blockchain • 4 years ago
Singapore's Central Bank releases report on experiments on distributed ledgers
The Singapore government, not the most radical institution in the world, just published their last and final report on their experimentation with distributed ledgers. The…
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multius (41)in #geopolitics • 4 years ago
China's ageing crisis - a concept map
A concept map to explain why the China's ageing population could be a driving factor for crises in the future. This basically suggests that there are no silver bullets to…
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multius (41)in #foresight • 4 years ago
A Quick Guide to Scenario Planning
I'm most familiar with the techniques for scenario planning. In scenario planning, there is usually a question we want to look at, such as, for instance, what's the future of…
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multius (41)in #china • 4 years ago
Why conflicts in China's periphery will remain a fact of life, and will only become worse in the decades to come
Consider a contribution to the Patreon: to support more analysis like this. Preliminaries Geopolitical tensions will only continue to increase in the decades to come…
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multius (41)in #china • 4 years ago
China: More Downside Risks for Internal Domestic Issues
This is a re-post from this website: The country to watch for 2040 is China. Although this might be obvious, there is more to this than meets the eye. The obvious notion…
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multius (41)in #blog • 4 years ago
Introduction
I'm interested in longer-term trends, so I tend to look at news events through the lens of larger and structural issues. I intend to write about events today and what they mean…
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