RE: Putin's war, more information and links on Russia's bleak future

[apshamilton]

You are right about one thing: Russia is an Empire.

Moreover it is an Empire that is undefeated by external enemies.
About every 70 years (1917, 1989) it goes through an internal collapse that many in the West mistake for a defeat and try to take advantage.
Did you know that the US and even Australia invaded Russia in 1917.

Russia is now an Empire rising in ascendancy again and is recapturing parts that it lost when it fell apart.

If you think that Imperialism and large scale warfare are outdated concepts "in the dustbin of history" Putin has hypersonic missiles and massive tank armies to prove you wrong.

Anyone in Europe who doesn't want to end up as part of Putin's Empire better get their shit together and arm up and stop wasting weapons by sending them to Ukraine where Russia blows them up as soon as they are delivered.

Comments

[zuerich]

"Moreover it is an Empire that is undefeated by external enemies."

• Not really, defeated by Germany in 1917 (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Treaty_of_Brest-Litovsk), and depending on the exact definition of "defeated" one could add the Winter War against Finland (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Winter_War), Afghanistan in the 1980s, the First Chechen War, and some others (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_wars_involving_Russia).

Russia is an empire that is not in ascendancy but in final decline.

Unfortunately, Imperialism is not an outdated concept at all. I'd expect the reemerging of this "trend" within some countries, such as Turkey, China, Iran or Uzbekistan.

"Anyone in Europe who doesn't want to end up as part of Putin's Empire better get their shit together and arm up and stop wasting weapons by sending them to Ukraine where Russia blows them up as soon as they are delivered."

• Exactly, Europeans need to get their shit together, urgently.
• In my opinion, one part of "getting their shit together" means to send as many weapons as possible to Ukraine, to make Ukraine the graveyard of the Russian military. If Russia succeeds in occupying Ukraine, the risk for further escalation will be a lot higher.

[apshamilton]

By undefeated I didn't mean never lost a war.

I meant that it was never conquered by anyone else. Moscow has never fallen and along with London (which gave away its Empire) they are the only two undefeated Imperial Capitals I know of.

[apshamilton]

If you believe the MSM narrative that Russia is suffering badly and its invasion is faltering then it might make sense to send heaps of arms to Ukraine to try to defeat them there.

But what I see is a quite successful large scale high intensity combined arms warfare utilising strategic and tactical manoeuvre to encircle and destroy the Ukrainian Army in the East, to secure the entire Black Sea coast, and to pin down Ukrainian forces in the Kiev and Kharkov to prevent resupply to the large forces encircled in the East (but no attempt to actually take them.)
I see western resupply depots being picked off in bulk by Russian missiles and thus not reaching the front lines.

This is the problem with the West drinking its own cool aid and believing the Ukrainians are winning when they are not. They may be fighting bravely, but they are losing.

It causes NATO to waste resources on Ukraine rather than dedicating them to defensive of actual NATO countries.