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bondstrader (38)in #bonds • 4 years ago
Government Bond Bear Market About To Get Worse
TBK Inverse Bond ETF Weekly Chart. TBK Inverse Bond ETF Weekly Chart. The bond market has had a bad 12 months as interest rates bottomed in March of 2020. Popular government…
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bondstrader (38)in #bonds • 4 years ago
Is a Short Squeeze Coming?
Across the yield curve, small speculators have plowed into Treasury short positions. Short Sale Of The Century Short Sale Of The Century TREASURY BEAR FRENZY Bloomberg…
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bondstrader (38)in #bonds • 4 years ago
The Fed’s Great Experiment Now In Progress
It’s not often that the head the world’s most important central bank recognizes that inflation is heating up while promising not to do much about it anytime soon. But that was…
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bondstrader (38)in #bonds • 4 years ago
Will Bond Yields Fastest Rise In 50 Years Rattle Markets?
Long-Term US 10-Year Treasury Index. Long-Term US 10-Year Treasury Index. The waterfall decline of bond yields (and interest rates) has been met with an equally steep rally.…
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bondstrader (38)in #bonds • 4 years ago
Watch Treasuries: When Up Is So Down
I find this fascinating: examine the symbol FR:T10 Y 2 Y, the 10-year rate minus the 2-year rate. This concoction has done a crackerjack job of predicting every single…
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bondstrader (38)in #bonds • 4 years ago
Are Bond Prices About To Fall Off Cliff?
Inverted U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yields. Inverted U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yields. The bull market in bond prices has been steady, durable and trustworthy. Over the past 40 years…
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bondstrader (38)in #bonds • 4 years ago
Treasury Yield Rally May Trigger A Price Revaluation Event – Part II
In the first part of this research series, published yesterday, we explored rising yields and how my team and I expect markets to react to the new level of fear that may begin to…
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bondstrader (38)in #bonds • 4 years ago
Treasury Yield Rally May Trigger A Price Revaluation Event
Since shortly after the US November elections, my research team and I have been clear about our research and our belief that the bullish rally in the markets would continue to…
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bondstrader (38)in #bonds • 4 years ago
Yield Shield Peeled
by Adam Button The broader market is struggling with weather to interpret rising yields as a sign of economic improvement, inflation or dislocation in the bond market. On…
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bondstrader (38)in #bonds • 4 years ago
Add Rising Bond Yields To List Of Market Concerns
The market largely continued last week’s mixed moves, with the S&P 500 and NASDAQ Composite mildly retreating from record highs and the Dow eking out another record close. The…
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bondstrader (38)in #bonds • 4 years ago
Rising Interest Rates Create Headwinds For Bonds In 2021
Only when the tide goes out do you discover who’s been swimming naked, Warren Buffett famously quipped. A real-time financial example is unfolding in the bond this year…
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bondstrader (38)in #bonds • 4 years ago
How Long Before The Fed Tries To Manipulate Long-Term Rates Lower?
The Fed pledged to hold interest rates low for a very long time. What about the long end of the curve? US Treasury Yields 1 To 30 Years Chart US Treasury Yields 1 To 30 Years…
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bondstrader (38)in #bonds • 4 years ago
With Higher Taxes And Budget Relief Ahead, Don't Ignore Municipal Bonds
Short post, but it’s been one I've thought about for a few weeks. Municipal bonds have done well since the election, since a Democratic Administration is typically good for…
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bondstrader (38)in #bonds • 4 years ago
Government Bonds Send Mixed Messages As Politics, Vaccines Roil Investors
Government bonds are sending mixed messages as political currents roil investors. U.S. Treasury yields have been going up and down as new COVID-19 vaccines show positive results…
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bondstrader (38)in #bonds • 4 years ago
Making Sense Of Diverging Real And Nominal Treasury Yields
The U.S. Treasury market is confused, or so it appears. While nominal yields have been rebounding recently, real (inflation-adjusted) rates keep falling, plumbing deeper into the…
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bondstrader (38)in #bonds • 4 years ago
Why The Fear Of Inflation Is Rising
The US yield curve, represented on the following weekly chart by the spread between the United States 10-year T-Note yield and the 2-year T-Note yield, has been steepening since…
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bondstrader (38)in #bonds • 4 years ago
3 Factors Fueling Ethereum’s Bull Run
Ethereum stole the crypto spotlight after rising to new all-time highs, but market participants seem concerned about whether it could climb further. KEY TAKEAWAYS Ethereum…
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bondstrader (38)in #bonds • 4 years ago
Bonds Bearing Down
US bonds have been breaking down for about a year now, and although there will be small bounces along the way, the pattern is fairly clear. The next meaningful resistance is the…
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bondstrader (38)in #bonds • 4 years ago
Is The 30-Year Bond Bull Market Over?
For the past three decades, one thing investors could count on was lower yields and rising bond prices (due to inverse relationship). US 10 YR Yields Monthly Chart US 10 YR…
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bondstrader (38)in #bonds • 4 years ago
December 2020 Yield Curve: Long-Term Rates Still Recovering
The yield curve looks pretty good. Long-term rates still are recovering. The expected date of the first short-term rate hike also appears to be coming closer. This all seems…
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